AusFinance Gazette

Internal RBA document predicts housing prices to jump by a third

So what does this mean for property owners? (other than the obvious!)

It’s the document that was never meant to see the light of day. But a Freedom of Information request reveals the Reserve Bank of Australia projects a 30% increase in house prices if interest rates remain low for the next few years.

The internal, not-meant-for-public-viewing analysis by the RBA looks at the impact of low interest rates on asset prices, including property.

The November 2020 document projects that housing prices could increase by 30% after about three years, so long as the official cash rate remains near record low levels (at or below 0.5%).

And that part of the equation looks promising, as the RBA board said they “weren’t expecting to increase the cash rate for at least three years” when they cut it to 0.1% in November.

What does this mean for property owners?

A lot more than just a potential 30% increase in the value of their property.

The RBA says both households and businesses can expect their borrowing capacity to increase, too.

That’s because low interest rates will lift asset prices (including property), which in turn will boost wealth, household spending and the value of collateral.

And as the value of collateral increases, so too will the borrowing capacity of households and businesses, the RBA document states.

What about prospective property owners?

RBA cuts rates to 0.10%

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With house prices projected by the RBA to rise 30% over the coming three years, it begs the question: is now a good time to jump into the property market?

Well, like most things in life, it will depend on your earnings, savings, borrowing capacity, goals, and where you’re at in life right now.

But it’s worth noting that there are a wide variety of generous federal and state government initiatives currently on offer, including the First Home Loan Deposit SchemeHomeBuilder and stamp duty exemptions/concessions.

The quickest way to find out whether you can finance that home you have your eye on is to book in a call with us today – we’d love to explore your financing options with you.

RBA cuts rates to 0.10%

See how much you can save with our lowest rate across dozens of lenders

See My Savings

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